Betting on NFL Props: Strategies for Player Prop Bets

Learn advanced strategies for betting on NFL player prop bets. Get tips and insights into the pros and cons of NFL player props and discover the essential elements to reduce the risk in your wagers.

Betting on NFL Props: Strategies for Player Prop Bets

Prop bets, short for "proposition bets," are an exciting way to enhance your NFL betting experience. While traditional wagers focus on outcomes like wins and losses or point spreads, prop bets zero in on individual player performances and specific game events. They're both fun and strategic, and with the right approach, can be a lucrative addition to your betting portfolio. In this article, we'll dive deep into strategies for betting on NFL player prop bets.

Understanding Player Prop Bets

In the world of NFL betting, player prop bets are wagers placed on individual players and their performance in a game. These wagers are not about which team will win or whether the game will go over or under a total score. Instead, they focus on player-specific outcomes.

Examples of player prop bets:

  • Will Patrick Mahomes throw for over or under 300 yards?
  • How many touchdowns will Derrick Henry score?
  • Will George Kittle have more than five receptions?

Prop bets can range from straightforward to complex, but they all provide an opportunity for bettors to leverage their player-specific knowledge.

Why Player Props are Popular

Player prop bets have become increasingly popular for several reasons:

  1. Engagement: They allow fans to stay engaged throughout the game, even if the outcome is a foregone conclusion. Your team may be losing, but your prop bet on a specific player might still be in play.

  2. Opportunity: Oddsmakers have a tough time setting accurate lines for every player in every game. Savvy bettors can identify mispriced prop bets and exploit these opportunities.

  3. Knowledge: Die-hard fans who follow certain players or teams closely can leverage their deep knowledge into profitable prop betting opportunities.

Strategies for Player Prop Betting

To maximize your chances of success with NFL player prop bets, consider these strategies:

  1. Do Your Research: Always study player stats, recent performance trends, and match-ups. A wide receiver going up against a weak secondary might be a good bet to have over a certain number of receiving yards.

  2. Consider the Game Script: Anticipate how the game will unfold. For example, if you expect a team to be leading, their running back might get more carries to run down the clock.

  3. Injury Reports are Gold: Always check injury reports. A backup running back might become a great prop bet if the starter is ruled out.

  4. Avoid Overhyped Players: Public perception can skew the odds. A player who had an explosive performance last week might be overvalued in prop bets the following game.

  5. Specialize: You don't have to bet on every game. Focus on a team, division, or even a specific player. The more specialized your knowledge, the better your chances of identifying profitable opportunities.

Mistakes to Avoid

  1. Overreacting to Recent Performances: Don't base your bets solely on a player's last game. One game doesn't define a trend.

  2. Ignoring the Offensive and Defensive Lines: They play a huge role in a player's performance. A great running back might struggle behind a weak offensive line.

  3. Not Shopping Around: Different sportsbooks offer different prop bet odds. Always seek the best value.

  4. Betting with Your Heart: It's fun to root for your favorite players, but always bet with your head, not your heart.


  1. What is a player prop bet?
    A player prop bet is a wager on an individual player's performance during a game, such as yards gained or touchdowns scored.

  2. Why are prop bets popular?
    They offer a deeper engagement with the game, allow bettors to exploit specific knowledge, and offer betting opportunities even when the game's outcome is clear.

  3. Are player prop bets profitable?
    Like all betting, there's no guaranteed profit. However, with research and a strategic approach, bettors can identify value and make profitable wagers.

  4. How do I find the best odds for prop bets?
    Shop around. Different sportsbooks may have different odds, so always look for the best value.

  5. Can I make live prop bets during a game?
    Yes, many sportsbooks offer live betting, where you can make prop bets as the game unfolds.

  6. How do injuries affect prop bets?
    Injuries can significantly impact a player's performance or open opportunities for backup players. Always check injury reports.

  7. What's the difference between player props and team props?
    Player props focus on individual player performances, while team props focus on team-specific outcomes like total yards gained.

  8. Are prop bets available for all NFL games?
    Most major sportsbooks offer prop bets for all NFL games, but the range and type of prop bets can vary.

  9. Can I combine multiple prop bets?
    Some sportsbooks allow parlaying multiple prop bets, which can increase potential payouts but also adds risk.

  10. Are prop bets a good way to start betting on the NFL?
    Prop bets can be a fun way to get started, especially for fans who have deep knowledge of certain players or teams.

In conclusion, NFL player prop bets offer an engaging way to delve deeper into the intricacies of the game. With proper research, understanding, and strategy, they can be both enjoyable and profitable for bettors. Always remember to bet responsibly and enjoy the game!